Real Madrid vs La Laguna Tenerife

Liga ACB

ML Win Probability

  • Real Madrid: 79%
  • La Laguna Tenerife: 21%

Pick: Real Madrid (High confidence)

Key Factors

  • {"type":"injury","impact":"high","team":"Real Madrid","team_id":41,"headline":"Madrid missing THREE centres: Tavares (MCL), Len (plantar fascia), Garuba (Achilles — season over)","detail":"Edy Tavares is out with a medial collateral ligament injury. Alex Len has a plantar fascia injury. Usman Garuba suffered a complete Achilles rupture at the EuroLeague Final Four — his season is over. Emergency signings Omer Yurtseven (available) and Mady Sissoko (unlikely G1 due to lack of training time) are the only interior cover.","source_url":"https://blog.codere.es/baloncesto/2026/06/real-madrid-vs-la-laguna-tenerife-cruce-marcado-por-las-lesiones/","players":["Edy Tavares","Alex Len","Usman Garuba","Omer Yurtseven","Mady Sissoko"]}
  • {"type":"form","impact":"high","team":"Real Madrid","team_id":41,"headline":"Real Madrid lost EuroLeague final to Olympiacos (85-92) — four of last five lost","detail":"Madrid enter the ACB playoffs having lost the EuroLeague final, then dropped back-to-back ACB defeats to Baskonia (83-88) and Baxi Manresa (94-87) to close the regular season. Three finals lost this season (Supercopa, Copa del Rey, EuroLeague). The Liga Endesa is their only remaining chance at silverware.","source_url":"https://www.realmadrid.com/es-ES/noticias/baloncesto/primer-equipo/previas/real-madrid-la-laguna-tenerife-arrancan-los-playoff-de-la-liga-02-06-2026","players":[]}
  • {"type":"injury","impact":"high","team":"La Laguna Tenerife","team_id":57,"headline":"Tenerife missing four starters: Huertas, Fitipaldo, Giedraitis, Doornekamp all OUT","detail":"Marcelinho Huertas (15.7 ppg, 6.3 ast — their primary creator), Bruno Fitipaldo, Aaron Doornekamp, and Kristaps Giedraitis are all unavailable. This is catastrophic for a side that relies on Huertas to generate everything.","source_url":"https://blog.codere.es/baloncesto/2026/06/real-madrid-vs-la-laguna-tenerife-cruce-marcado-por-las-lesiones/","players":["Marcelinho Huertas","Bruno Fitipaldo","Aaron Doornekamp","Kristaps Giedraitis"]}
  • {"type":"injury","impact":"medium","team":"La Laguna Tenerife","team_id":57,"headline":"AFTERNOON UPDATE: Shermadini expected available after arrhythmia absence","detail":"Giorgi Shermadini (12.8 ppg, 70% FG) missed recent games with a cardiac arrhythmia but has been cleared and is expected available for Game 1. His return gives Tenerife back their most efficient interior scorer and partially offsets the loss of Huertas.","source_url":"https://www.casasdeapuestas.com/pronosticos/real-madrid-la-laguna-tenerife-20260602/","players":["Giorgi Shermadini"]}
  • {"type":"lineup","impact":"medium","team":"Real Madrid","team_id":41,"headline":"Non-EU player puzzle — Scariolo must exclude one of Deck, Okeke, or Lyles per game","detail":"ACB non-EU player regulations require Scariolo to choose two from Gabi Deck, Chuma Okeke, and Trey Lyles. The excluded player changes Real Madrid's frontcourt depth and scoring profile each game.","source_url":"https://www.casasdeapuestas.com/pronosticos/real-madrid-la-laguna-tenerife-20260602/","players":["Gabi Deck","Chuma Okeke","Trey Lyles"]}
  • {"type":"context","impact":"medium","team":"La Laguna Tenerife","team_id":57,"headline":"Tenerife WON their last meeting at the Movistar Arena — 95-90 in April","detail":"Despite their poor form in the final stretch, Tenerife beat Real Madrid 95-90 at the Movistar Arena in April, demonstrating they can compete with and beat Madrid even on the road. This season's H2H stands 2-1 Madrid.","source_url":"https://www.casasdeapuestas.com/pronosticos/real-madrid-la-laguna-tenerife-20260602/","players":[]}

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