Hereda San Pablo Burgos vs Rostock Seawolves

Prediction

• Hereda San Pablo Burgos: 56%
• Rostock Seawolves: 44%

Pick: Hereda San Pablo Burgos (Low confidence)

Match context

Two sides on one win from five meet in Burgos. The home team have lost narrowly at home to Hapoel Jerusalem and Riga but beat Cedevita 85-81. No confirmed injury or lineup news was found.

Recent form

Burgos beat Cedevita 85-81 at home, then lost 80-93 at Aris, 84-85 to Hapoel Jerusalem, 79-89 at Tortona and 71-79 to Riga. Rostock beat Riga 87-86 but lost 73-94 at Hapoel, 70-82 at Le Mans, 79-110 to Aris and 83-86 to Tortona. Both have a lot of narrow defeats.

How they attack and defend

Burgos average 79.8 and concede 85.4. The numbers for Rostock (88.7 scored, 81.7 conceded) include games outside the Eurocup, so a direct comparison is unreliable. In the Eurocup alone Rostock have scored 73, 87, 70, 79 and 83.

Quarter patterns

Burgos have been outscored by 3.8 points in the second quarter on average, their weak period. Rostock's overall figures show strong first and third quarters but are mixed with non-Eurocup games, so I would not rely on them.

Head to head

No recent meeting between these two turned up.

Key players and availability

Availability is unconfirmed on both sides.

The edge

A thin lean to Burgos on home court and a record of competing with the better teams, including the 84-85 defeat to Hapoel. It goes wrong if Rostock repeat the scoring they showed in their narrow Riga win and Burgos fall behind in the second quarter, their weakest.