Virtus Bologna vs BC Dubai

Prediction

• Virtus Bologna: 47%
• BC Dubai: 53%

Pick: BC Dubai (Low confidence)

Match context

Virtus are 13th at 4-5 and Dubai are 7th at 6-3, so the visitors arrive with the better record and the home side with a confidence problem. Virtus have lost two home games in a row, and the second was a game they led by 13 inside the last four minutes. Dubai are 3-1 on the road this season.

Recent form

Virtus won 96-94 at Paris and 86-78 against Baskonia, then lost 81-90 at Hapoel, 74-91 to Žalgiris and 101-103 to Beşiktaş. Dubai won 93-79 at Baskonia, 101-97 at Milan and 107-91 at Bayern, lost 93-99 at home to Paris, and beat Hapoel 97-83 in Round 9. Those three away wins in a row are the best road run of any side in this group of games.

How they attack and defend

Virtus have scored 781 and conceded 802 in nine games, about 86.8 and 89.1. Dubai have scored 787 and conceded 766, about 87.4 and 85.1. Defence is where the gap sits, even though Virtus have Aliou Diarra, who led the league in blocks at 2.2 per game after six rounds and in rebounds among Virtus players at 7.2.

Head to head

Virtus won both EuroLeague meetings last season: 79-78 in Bologna on 5 December 2025, when Luca Vildoza hit a three with 27 seconds left, and 80-72 in Dubai on 15 January 2026. Carsen Edwards led Virtus in both, but he has since moved to Žalgiris, and Vildoza is now at Partizan, so the squads are different.

Key players and availability

Derrick Alston Jr. scored 18 against Žalgiris and 19 against Beşiktaş for Virtus, Trent Frazier had 14 in the Žalgiris game, and Marcus Carr was among the assist leaders at 5.8 per game after six rounds. For Dubai, Filip Petrusev had 20 and Elie Okobo 18 against Hapoel, Dwayne Bacon averaged 17.8 points after six rounds, and Mfiondu Kabengele averaged 7.0 rebounds and scored 24 at Bayern.

The edge

Dubai are the pick, narrowly. They have the better record, the better defence and three road wins on the bounce, and Virtus have just thrown away a 13-point lead at home. The pick goes wrong if Alston and Carr get the home crowd going early and Dubai's guard rotation is short, since Walkup and Anderson are not confirmed. Virtus's two wins over Dubai last season show they can cope with this opponent, even with different players.

Team news

• Baldasso missed the last two rounds: Tommaso Baldasso was ruled out for Rounds 8 and 9 in the EuroLeague report of 4 November. No tonight-specific report had been filed, so his return is unconfirmed.
• Walkup off the roster, Justin Anderson yet to play: Thomas Walkup was not on the roster in Rounds 8 or 9, and Justin Anderson has not played this season through injury, per the same report. Dubai beat Hapoel 97-83 in Round 9 without them. Both are unconfirmed for tonight.
• Three straight losses, two at home: Virtus lost 81-90 at Hapoel, 74-91 to Žalgiris and then 101-103 to Beşiktaş, when they led 97-84 with 3:47 left and were beaten by a Conor Morgan three with 20 seconds to go. Lonnie Walker scored 30 for Beşiktaş in that game.